United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with confirmed rollout on over 300 regional aircraft and plans to exceed 800 equipped planes soon. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the SGF-ORD route, and recent news highlights Starlink primarily on regional and select mainline routes like EWR-LAS and the first Boeing 737-800 retrofit. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status but lack of route-specific observations, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but slightly discounted to 0.40 to reflect uncertainty and no direct route sightings.

Last calculated May 21, 2026