United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Despite zero direct observations on the ORD->SGF route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet ratio for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent high-confidence news confirms ongoing rollout and operational Starlink on mainline United aircraft, including inaugural flights and media tests. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the high fleet coverage and strong supporting evidence, the probability is anchored at 0.956 with very likely confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026