United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 36.7% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed' and medium confidence from multiple sources. Although there are zero confirmed Starlink observations on the SAT-ORD route, the critical scoring rule for 'installed' status with fleet coverage below 50% sets the fleet ratio as a floor, not a ceiling. Recent news confirms Starlink deployment on mainline United aircraft, including inaugural flights and media tests, supporting the presence of Starlink on some aircraft operating this route. Community sightings confirm rollout completion on regional US routes, but no direct route-specific observations exist. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.367, rounded to 0.37, reflecting a conservative estimate given the lack of direct observations but strong fleet-level evidence.

Last calculated May 24, 2026