United Airlines has a fleet coverage of 53.4% with Starlink installed on over 300 regional aircraft and plans to equip more than 800 planes by end of 2026. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->SAT route, and no specific sightings or news mention this route. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline United flights but only on select routes (EWR->LAS, first 737-800 retrofit). Given the lack of direct route observations and the fleet coverage slightly above 50%, the probability is anchored near the empirical observation rate (0.0) but adjusted upward due to fleet rollout and news evidence, capped conservatively at 0.40.

Last calculated May 21, 2026