United Airlines has a fleet coverage of 52.2% with Starlink equipped aircraft, indicating a moderate baseline probability. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink-equipped flights on the ORD->MIA route, so empirical observation weight is zero. Recent high-confidence news confirms rollout and initial flights with Starlink on United, but these are primarily on other routes (e.g., EWR->LAS). Community sightings confirm regional fleet rollout but do not specify mainline routes like ORD->MIA. Given the lack of direct route observations and moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage (0.522) with no upward adjustment beyond 0.10 due to absence of route-specific sightings or news. Thus, the probability is set at 0.52 with likely confidence.

Last calculated May 20, 2026