United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 36.7% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed' and plans to equip over 800 aircraft soon. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the MSP->SFO route, the fleet coverage ratio sets a conservative floor for probability at 0.367. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on mainline United aircraft, including inaugural flights on Boeing 737-800s and regional fleet completion, supporting a moderate likelihood on this route despite lack of direct observations. Given the fleet coverage below 50% and zero route observations, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio floor without upward adjustment.

Last calculated May 24, 2026