United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with over 300 regional aircraft equipped and plans to reach over 800 planes soon. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the DCA->SFO route, and no route-specific sightings or news confirming Starlink on this route. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline United flights but only on specific routes (EWR->LAS, first 737-800 retrofit). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but adjusted downward due to lack of direct route observations, resulting in a conservative estimate of 0.40.

Last calculated May 21, 2026