Air France has installed Starlink on approximately 45% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed' and a medium confidence from Perplexity indicating about 20 aircraft equipped, aiming for 30% by end-2025 and full fleet by end-2026. Although there are zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the TNG->CDG route, the fleet coverage ratio of 45% sets a strong baseline probability. Given the rollout status and fleet coverage, the probability should not be scored below the fleet ratio. No route-specific sightings or observations exist to adjust the probability upward or downward. Recent news about other airlines does not directly impact Air France's route-specific probability. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.45 with a 'likely' confidence tier and medium confidence in the estimate.

Last calculated May 22, 2026