United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with strong rollout progress especially on regional aircraft (300+ equipped) and plans to reach over 800 planes soon. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the MCI->SFO route, and recent news confirms Starlink mainly on regional and select mainline routes (EWR->LAS, first mainline 737-800). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, but no direct route observations, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but slightly discounted to 0.40 to reflect lack of direct route evidence. News and sightings support rollout but do not specifically confirm this route yet.

Last calculated May 21, 2026