United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the GUA->ORD route, the critical scoring rule mandates that for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%, the probability cannot be scored below the fleet ratio. Recent news confirms active Starlink installation on mainline aircraft and regional fleets, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings confirm completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the high fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio despite zero observations on this specific route.

Last calculated May 22, 2026