United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with about 52.2% fleet coverage, supported by multiple high-confidence news reports confirming initial Starlink flights on other routes but no direct observations on DEN->MBJ. Given zero observed Starlink flights on this route and the fleet coverage ratio, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage level (0.522) without upward adjustment. The rollout status and recent news indicate growing coverage but no route-specific confirmation, so a conservative estimate is appropriate.

Last calculated May 20, 2026