United Airlines has a fleet coverage of approximately 52.2% for Starlink-equipped aircraft, with recent news confirming rollout and initial flights equipped with Starlink, primarily on Boeing 737-800s and select routes such as Newark to Las Vegas. However, there are zero confirmed Starlink observations on the YVR to IAH route, and no specific sightings or news mention this route. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored conservatively near the empirical observation rate (0.0) plus a modest uplift reflecting fleet coverage and rollout news, resulting in a probability of 0.37, which is below the fleet coverage but above zero due to rollout progress. Confidence is medium due to lack of direct route observations but strong fleet and news evidence.

Last calculated May 20, 2026