United Airlines is currently rolling out Starlink with about 52.2% fleet coverage, supported by multiple high-confidence news reports confirming initial Starlink flights and ongoing installations. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the XMN->SFO route, so the probability is anchored to the fleet coverage ratio without upward adjustment. The rollout status and news provide moderate confidence that Starlink is available on some United aircraft, but route-specific evidence is lacking, resulting in a conservative estimate.

Last calculated May 20, 2026