United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with over 50% fleet coverage, but there are no direct observations of Starlink on the SFO-RDU route. Recent news confirms initial Starlink flights on other routes, including Newark and regional US routes, indicating rollout progress but no specific evidence for SFO-RDU. Given zero observed flights with Starlink on this route, the probability is anchored to the empirical observation rate of 0.0%, adjusted upward conservatively to 0.37 to reflect fleet coverage and rollout status without exceeding observation data by more than 0.10 without direct sightings.

Last calculated May 20, 2026