Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for SFO–MSY
United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with about 52% fleet coverage, but there are no direct observations of Starlink on the SFO->MSY route. Recent news confirms Starlink is operational on select United aircraft, primarily on Boeing 737-800s and specific routes like EWR->LAS, but no specific mention of SFO->MSY. Community sightings indicate regional fleet rollout completion but do not cover mainline routes like SFO->MSY. Given zero observed flights with Starlink on this route and fleet coverage at 52%, the probability is anchored conservatively below the fleet ratio, adjusted slightly upward due to rollout status and news, resulting in a 0.35 estimate.
Last calculated May 20, 2026
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