United Airlines has a moderate fleet coverage of 50.5% for Starlink installations, indicating a significant portion of aircraft are equipped. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the SFO->MEL route, and recent news highlights initial Starlink flights primarily on domestic US routes and specific inaugural flights from Newark and regional US routes. Given the lack of route-specific sightings or observations and the moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored conservatively near the fleet coverage but slightly reduced due to zero direct observations on this route. The rollout is ongoing, and international long-haul routes like SFO->MEL may have lower immediate coverage compared to domestic routes.

Last calculated May 19, 2026