United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the SFO->FCA route, the critical scoring rule mandates that for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%, the probability cannot be scored below the fleet ratio. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on mainline and regional United aircraft, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings also confirm completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the high fleet coverage and strong rollout status, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio despite zero route-specific observations.

Last calculated May 22, 2026