Alaska Airlines has a fleet coverage ratio of 72.2% with rollout status 'installed', which mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet ratio regardless of zero observations on the SEA->MRY route. The absence of route-specific observations or recent news means we cannot increase the probability beyond the fleet ratio. The medium confidence in perplexity data and lack of sightings support a conservative estimate anchored at fleet coverage.

Last calculated May 23, 2026