Alaska Airlines has a high fleet coverage ratio of 72.2% with Starlink installed, and rollout status is 'installed'. Despite zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the SEA->AUS route, the critical scoring rule mandates using the fleet coverage ratio as the minimum probability for such airlines. No recent news or community sightings exist to adjust this estimate. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.722 with a 'likely' confidence tier due to medium confidence in the perplexity data and lack of direct route observations.

Last calculated May 23, 2026