United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Despite zero direct observations on the ROA->ORD route, the critical scoring rule mandates using the fleet coverage ratio as a minimum probability for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on mainline aircraft including Boeing 737-800s, and community sightings verify completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the high fleet ratio and corroborating evidence, the probability is anchored at 0.956 with very high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026