United Airlines has installed Starlink on over 50% of its fleet (53.4%), with confirmed completion of regional fleet rollout (300+ aircraft) and plans to reach over 800 equipped planes soon. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the RAP->DEN route, and recent news highlights initial mainline retrofits primarily on other routes (e.g., EWR->LAS). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but slightly discounted due to zero direct observations on this route and the mainline rollout still in early stages. Community sightings support regional fleet completion but do not specifically confirm this route. Thus, a conservative estimate near 0.40 is appropriate.

Last calculated May 21, 2026