UA462 — Fleet coverage: 96% — B38M
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for PDX–IAH
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with confirmed rollout on over 300 regional aircraft and plans to equip more than 800 planes by end of 2026. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the PDX-IAH route, and recent news highlights initial mainline deployments on other routes (EWR-LAS, Boeing 737-800). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status but zero observed flights on this route, the probability is anchored near the empirical observation rate (0.0) plus a conservative uplift reflecting fleet coverage and rollout news, capped below fleet coverage by 0.10, resulting in a 0.40 estimate. Confidence is medium due to lack of direct route observations but strong fleet and rollout evidence.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
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