United Airlines has installed Starlink on over 300 regional aircraft and is rolling out to reach more than 800 planes by year-end, representing about 53.4% fleet coverage. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->XNA route, and recent news highlights Starlink primarily on mainline and select routes like EWR->LAS. Given the lack of route-specific sightings and zero observed flights with Starlink on ORD->XNA, the probability is anchored conservatively near the fleet coverage but slightly discounted to 0.40 to reflect uncertainty and absence of direct evidence on this route.

Last calculated May 21, 2026