United Airlines has a fleet coverage of 53.4% with Starlink installed on over 300 regional aircraft and plans to reach over 800 planes soon. However, there are zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the ORD->TUL route, and no direct sightings or news specifically mention this route. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline United flights but on different routes (EWR->LAS). Given the lack of direct route observations and moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored conservatively below the fleet coverage ratio, adjusted downward to 0.40 to reflect no direct route observations but supported by rollout status and news.

Last calculated May 21, 2026