United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed. Despite zero direct observations on the ORD-ROC route, the critical scoring rule mandates using the fleet coverage as a minimum probability for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink installations on mainline and regional fleets, and community sightings verify completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the high fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored at 0.956 with very high confidence, as zero observations likely reflect incomplete tracking rather than absence of Starlink.

Last calculated May 22, 2026