UA502 — Fleet coverage: 96% — B737
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ORD–RNO
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with strong rollout progress especially on regional aircraft (300+ equipped) and plans to reach over 800 planes soon. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->RNO route, and recent news highlights initial mainline deployments primarily on other routes (EWR->LAS). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored below the fleet coverage ratio due to lack of route-specific observations, but news and rollout context justify a probability near 0.40 rather than zero.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
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