United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct route observations for ORD->PVD, the critical scoring rule mandates using the fleet coverage as a minimum probability for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink installation on mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights with Starlink on mainline aircraft. Community sightings confirm completion of rollout on regional fleets. Given the lack of direct observations but strong fleet-wide evidence and rollout status, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026