United Airlines has a moderate fleet-wide Starlink coverage of about 50.5%, indicating a substantial rollout. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->MTY route, and no specific news or sightings mention this route. Recent news confirms Starlink is active on some mainline United flights, but primarily on other routes (EWR->LAS). Regional fleet rollout is complete but likely not relevant for this mainline international route. Given the lack of direct route observations and the fleet coverage, the probability is anchored near the fleet ratio but adjusted slightly downward due to zero observed flights on this route. The probability is conservatively set at 0.40, slightly below the fleet coverage to reflect uncertainty and lack of direct evidence.

Last calculated May 19, 2026