UA3878 — Fleet coverage: 100% — B738
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ORD–MLB
United Airlines has installed Starlink on over 53% of its fleet, with confirmed rollout on 300+ regional aircraft and ongoing expansion to mainline aircraft. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->MLB route, and the observation ratio is 0%. Given the fleet coverage of 53.4%, the probability is anchored near the empirical observation rate but adjusted upward moderately due to strong rollout news and regional fleet completion. No specific sightings or news confirm Starlink on this exact route, so the probability is conservatively set at 0.40, below fleet coverage but reflecting rollout progress and recent news.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
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