United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage ratio of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability on this route despite zero direct observations. No flights with confirmed Starlink tails have been observed on the ORD->LIT route, so the observation ratio is 0%. However, recent high-confidence news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including first mainline flights with Starlink in late 2025 and early 2026. Community sightings also confirm rollout completion on regional US routes. Given the rollout status and fleet coverage, the probability should not be scored below the fleet ratio of 0.367. The confidence is medium due to lack of direct route observations but supported by multiple indirect evidence sources.

Last calculated May 23, 2026