United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with strong rollout progress especially on regional aircraft. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the ORD->IAB route, and the route observation ratio is 0%. Recent news confirms Starlink is active on mainline United flights but primarily on other routes (EWR->LAS). Community sightings confirm regional fleet rollout completion but do not specifically mention ORD->IAB. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, but lack of direct route observations, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but adjusted downward to reflect zero observed flights, resulting in a conservative estimate of 0.40.

Last calculated May 21, 2026