United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage ratio of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability on this route despite zero direct observations. No flights with confirmed Starlink tails have been observed on the ORD->GUC route, but this is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, and community sightings indicate rollout completion on regional US routes. Given the fleet coverage below 50% and rollout status installed, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio of 0.367, reflecting a conservative but evidence-supported estimate.

Last calculated May 24, 2026