United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations on the ORD->AVP route, the critical scoring rule mandates that the probability cannot be below the fleet coverage for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink installation on mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights and media tests, supporting high confidence in widespread availability. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. The lack of direct observations is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink.

Last calculated May 22, 2026