United Airlines has a moderate fleet coverage of 50.5% for Starlink installations, indicating a substantial but incomplete rollout. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the OAX -> IAH route, and no route-specific sightings or news confirming Starlink service on this route. Recent news confirms Starlink is operational on some United mainline flights, but these are primarily from other routes such as Newark to Las Vegas and initial Boeing 737-800 retrofits. Given the lack of direct route observations and the moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored conservatively near the fleet coverage but adjusted downward due to zero observed flights on this route. The probability is set at 0.35, slightly below the fleet coverage to reflect uncertainty and absence of direct evidence.

Last calculated May 19, 2026