Southwest Airlines is currently in a rolling_out status with a high fleet coverage ratio of 86.2%, which normally would anchor the probability near that level. However, there are zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the MDW->MIA route, and perplexity-verified context indicates no aircraft currently equipped as of May 2026, with rollout expected to begin in summer 2026. No recent news or community sightings support a higher probability. Given the rollout status and high fleet ratio, the fleet ratio acts as a floor, but due to zero current equipment and observations, the probability is conservatively anchored at 0.30, reflecting the announced rollout but no current deployment.

Last calculated May 22, 2026