Southwest Airlines is currently in a rolling_out status with a high fleet coverage ratio of 86.2%, which normally would anchor the probability near this value. However, there are zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the MCO->PBI route, and perplexity-verified context indicates no aircraft currently equipped as of May 2026. No recent news or community sightings support higher probability. Given the rollout is announced but not yet active, and no direct route observations exist, the probability is conservatively anchored at 0.30, reflecting the rollout status and fleet coverage as a floor but not the full fleet ratio.