Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for LIM–CDG
Air France fleet coverage is only 13.6% (30 of 220 aircraft), placing it in the lowest tier of Starlink deployment. The empirical observation data is decisive: 19 flights observed on this specific LIM-CDG route with zero confirmed Starlink sightings (0% observed rate). This direct route observation should anchor the probability assessment. While recent news shows other carriers (Hawaiian, British Airways, Qatar) aggressively deploying Starlink, Air France has only announced plans without confirmed fleet-wide rollout. The most recent observation from May 2026 still shows no Starlink detection. Without either (1) confirmed sightings on this route or (2) evidence of Air France accelerating beyond 13.6% coverage, the probability cannot exceed the empirical observation rate of 0.0% by more than the conservative 0.10 buffer. The combination of low fleet coverage, zero empirical detections, and lack of Air France-specific deployment news keeps this firmly in unlikely territory.
Last calculated May 18, 2026
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