United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 51.9%, which mandates a minimum probability floor of 0.519 despite zero direct observations on the LGA->RDU route. The absence of observed Starlink tails on this route is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than lack of equipment. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on over 300 regional aircraft and the start of mainline retrofits, supporting a probability anchored at fleet coverage. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout, further reinforcing the estimate. Given the medium perplexity confidence and no direct route observations, the probability is set at the fleet ratio floor with a 'likely' confidence tier.

Last calculated May 23, 2026