United Airlines has installed Starlink on 51.9% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed', which mandates a minimum probability floor of 0.519 for all routes regardless of zero direct observations on RDU->LGA. Although no flights on this route have confirmed Starlink tails, recent high-confidence news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including first mainline flights in late 2025 and early 2026. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout by early 2026. Given the zero observations but strong fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage (0.519) and slightly increased to 0.52 to reflect recent news and rollout completeness, but conservatively capped below 0.60 due to lack of direct route observations.

Last calculated May 23, 2026