United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. However, no Starlink observations were recorded on the IND->DTW route, resulting in a 0% observed rate. According to scoring rules, when observed rate is below fleet coverage, probability should be anchored to the observed rate but not exceed it by more than 0.10 unless route-specific news or sightings confirm higher usage. No direct news or sightings confirm Starlink on this specific route, so probability is set at observed rate (0.0) plus 0.10 capped by fleet coverage (0.465), resulting in 0.465. The rollout status and fleet coverage provide strong evidence, but lack of route-specific observations lowers confidence.

Last calculated May 25, 2026