United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 53.4% of its fleet, with confirmed completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft and plans to equip over 800 planes soon. However, there are zero observed Starlink flights on the IAH-SGF route, and recent news only confirms Starlink on mainline flights starting late 2025 and early 2026 on other routes. Given the lack of direct route observations and the fleet coverage slightly above 50%, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but adjusted downward due to zero observations and no specific route mentions. The probability is set conservatively at 0.40, slightly below fleet coverage, reflecting medium confidence from multiple evidence sources.

Last calculated May 21, 2026