United Airlines has a moderate fleet coverage of 50.5% for Starlink installations, but there are no direct observations of Starlink on the IAH->ACA route. Recent news confirms Starlink is operational on mainline United flights, including inaugural flights on other routes, and regional rollout is complete. Given the lack of direct route observations and moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored near the observation rate (0) plus a conservative uplift reflecting fleet coverage and news evidence, capped below fleet coverage by 0.10, resulting in a 0.35 estimate.

Last calculated May 19, 2026