Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–SFO
United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with over 52% fleet coverage, supported by high-confidence recent news confirming operational Starlink flights on mainline aircraft and regional fleet completion. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the IAD->SFO route, so the probability is anchored to the fleet coverage ratio of 52.2%. Given the lack of route-specific sightings but strong fleet-wide rollout evidence, a probability at the fleet coverage level is justified with a 'likely' confidence tier.
Last calculated May 20, 2026
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