United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability at 0.367. Although there are zero confirmed Starlink observations on the IAD->CAE route, the fleet coverage and recent news about United's ongoing Starlink installations, including completion on regional fleets, support a probability anchored at the fleet ratio. The lack of direct route observations prevents a higher score, but the medium confidence from Perplexity and multiple recent news items about United's Starlink deployment justify a 'likely' confidence tier with medium confidence in the estimate.

Last calculated May 23, 2026