United Airlines has a fleet coverage of 51.9% with Starlink installed and rollout status marked as 'installed'. Despite zero direct observations on the CAE->IAD route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet coverage for airlines with installed status and fleet ratio above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights with Starlink on mainline aircraft. Community sightings confirm completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the lack of direct route observations but strong fleet-wide evidence and rollout status, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage (0.519) with a 'likely' confidence tier.

Last calculated May 23, 2026