UA4823 — Fleet coverage: 96% — E45X
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–BUF
United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, and the airline's rollout status is fully_deployed. Despite zero direct observations on the IAD-BUF route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet coverage for fully deployed airlines with over 50% coverage. Recent news confirms active Starlink installations on mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the high fleet coverage and strong rollout status, the probability is anchored at 0.956 with very likely confidence.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
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