United Airlines has a moderate fleet coverage of 53.4% Starlink-equipped aircraft, with confirmed installation on over 300 regional planes and plans to exceed 800 by end of year. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the BUF->IAD route, and no specific sightings or news mention this route. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline United flights but only on select routes (EWR->LAS). Given the lack of direct route observations and moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but slightly discounted to 0.40 to reflect uncertainty and no direct route evidence.

Last calculated May 21, 2026