Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for HNL–ORD
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed' and strong news evidence confirming recent mainline Starlink flights. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the HNL->ORD route. Given the critical scoring rule for installed status with fleet coverage below 50%, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 46.5%. News and community sightings support a high rollout but do not specifically confirm this route, so the probability is set at fleet coverage without upward adjustment.
Last calculated May 25, 2026
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