United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with about 52.2% fleet coverage, supported by high-confidence recent news confirming Starlink flights from Newark (EWR) including inaugural flights and media tests. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the EWR->SAN route, and community sightings focus on regional routes rather than mainline transcontinental flights. Given the lack of route-specific observations, the probability is anchored to the fleet coverage ratio of 52.2%, with a slight upward adjustment to 0.52 to reflect strong news evidence about Newark departures but no direct SAN route confirmation.

Last calculated May 20, 2026