United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 51.9%, which sets a minimum probability floor of 0.519 for all routes, including EWR->ROC. Although there are zero direct observations on this route, the fleet coverage and multiple high-confidence news reports confirm Starlink installation on over 300 regional aircraft and recent inaugural mainline flights from Newark with Starlink. Community sightings confirm rollout completion on regional US routes by February 2026. Given the lack of direct route observations but strong fleet and news evidence, the probability is anchored slightly above the fleet ratio floor at 0.52, reflecting moderate confidence.

Last calculated May 23, 2026